Recent forecast model runs for Munich show notable spread in expected overnight minimums for August 24, with ensemble guidance indicating potential for strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions versus moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds. Official European and global models highlight this variability driven by evolving high-pressure influences and boundary-layer moisture, producing the closely matched market probabilities between sub-7°C outcomes and those at or above 16°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on precise timing of any frontal passage or subsidence strengthening; updated NWP runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 24 agosto?
6°C or below 90%
16°C or higher 84%
7°C 28%
8°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
6°C or below
90%
7°C
28%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
84%
6°C or below 90%
16°C or higher 84%
7°C 28%
8°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
90%
7°C
$0 Vol.
28%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$5 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Munich show notable spread in expected overnight minimums for August 24, with ensemble guidance indicating potential for strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions versus moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds. Official European and global models highlight this variability driven by evolving high-pressure influences and boundary-layer moisture, producing the closely matched market probabilities between sub-7°C outcomes and those at or above 16°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on precise timing of any frontal passage or subsidence strengthening; updated NWP runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$15Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Munich show notable spread in expected overnight minimums for August 24, with ensemble guidance indicating potential for strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions versus moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds. Official European and global models highlight this variability driven by evolving high-pressure influences and boundary-layer moisture, producing the closely matched market probabilities between sub-7°C outcomes and those at or above 16°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on precise timing of any frontal passage or subsidence strengthening; updated NWP runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Munich show notable spread in expected overnight minimums for August 24, with ensemble guidance indicating potential for strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions versus moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds. Official European and global models highlight this variability driven by evolving high-pressure influences and boundary-layer moisture, producing the closely matched market probabilities between sub-7°C outcomes and those at or above 16°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, so deviations hinge on precise timing of any frontal passage or subsidence strengthening; updated NWP runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti