Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and national agencies indicate a post-heatwave transition over Central Europe, with a cooler air mass and variable cloud cover expected to influence radiative cooling in Munich on August 23. Recent mid-August heat domes pushed daytime highs well above average, but nighttime temperatures now carry notable ensemble spread, centering market-implied odds on 7–9°C as traders weigh potential clear skies versus increased moisture and light winds that could limit drops below 8°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, underscoring the current anomaly and resolution sensitivity to precise minimum readings at stations like Munich Airport. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten or shift this tight probability cluster.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Monaco il 23 agosto?
7°C 22%
8°C 22%
9°C 20%
6°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
5°C or below
9%
6°C
12%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
20%
10°C
11%
11°C
8%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 22%
8°C 22%
9°C 20%
6°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
9%
6°C
$0 Vol.
12%
7°C
$0 Vol.
22%
8°C
$1 Vol.
22%
9°C
$90 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$22 Vol.
1%
14°C
$26 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and national agencies indicate a post-heatwave transition over Central Europe, with a cooler air mass and variable cloud cover expected to influence radiative cooling in Munich on August 23. Recent mid-August heat domes pushed daytime highs well above average, but nighttime temperatures now carry notable ensemble spread, centering market-implied odds on 7–9°C as traders weigh potential clear skies versus increased moisture and light winds that could limit drops below 8°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, underscoring the current anomaly and resolution sensitivity to precise minimum readings at stations like Munich Airport. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten or shift this tight probability cluster.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$155Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and national agencies indicate a post-heatwave transition over Central Europe, with a cooler air mass and variable cloud cover expected to influence radiative cooling in Munich on August 23. Recent mid-August heat domes pushed daytime highs well above average, but nighttime temperatures now carry notable ensemble spread, centering market-implied odds on 7–9°C as traders weigh potential clear skies versus increased moisture and light winds that could limit drops below 8°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, underscoring the current anomaly and resolution sensitivity to precise minimum readings at stations like Munich Airport. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten or shift this tight probability cluster.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$155Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and national agencies indicate a post-heatwave transition over Central Europe, with a cooler air mass and variable cloud cover expected to influence radiative cooling in Munich on August 23. Recent mid-August heat domes pushed daytime highs well above average, but nighttime temperatures now carry notable ensemble spread, centering market-implied odds on 7–9°C as traders weigh potential clear skies versus increased moisture and light winds that could limit drops below 8°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 12–14°C, underscoring the current anomaly and resolution sensitivity to precise minimum readings at stations like Munich Airport. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will likely tighten or shift this tight probability cluster.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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