Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 12°C for Buenos Aires on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability and strong support for 13°C. This reflects typical late-winter conditions in the humid subtropical climate, where average August highs hover around 15–16°C but cooler air masses and variable cloud cover can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Model consensus shows mostly sunny to overcast skies with light winds, limiting daytime warming and keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than the occasional warmer spikes seen in historical data. No major shifts in atmospheric patterns or updated model runs have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, though final resolution hinges on official maximum temperature measurements from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 21 agosto?
12°C 52%
13°C 38%
11°C 7%
14°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
7%
12°C
52%
13°C
38%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 52%
13°C 38%
11°C 7%
14°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
7%
12°C
52%
13°C
38%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate a daytime high near 12°C for Buenos Aires on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability and strong support for 13°C. This reflects typical late-winter conditions in the humid subtropical climate, where average August highs hover around 15–16°C but cooler air masses and variable cloud cover can suppress temperatures by several degrees. Model consensus shows mostly sunny to overcast skies with light winds, limiting daytime warming and keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than the occasional warmer spikes seen in historical data. No major shifts in atmospheric patterns or updated model runs have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook, though final resolution hinges on official maximum temperature measurements from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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