Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai's August 21 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thundershower activity that limits daytime heating. Mid-August observations show a persistent rainy pattern with daily highs averaging near 30–31°C, suppressing extremes above 33°C. This consensus from regional guidance, combined with climatological norms for the Yangtze delta in late August, positions 31°C as the market favorite while assigning modest probability to 32°C if clearer skies develop. Traders are weighting the elevated moisture and cloud cover that historically caps peaks near 32°C rather than allowing stronger solar heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 21 agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
27%
31°C
37%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$200 Vol.
1%
27°C
$150 Vol.
1%
28°C
$28 Vol.
6%
29°C
$64 Vol.
16%
30°C
$73 Vol.
27%
31°C
$42 Vol.
37%
32°C
$429 Vol.
17%
33°C
$12 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai's August 21 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thundershower activity that limits daytime heating. Mid-August observations show a persistent rainy pattern with daily highs averaging near 30–31°C, suppressing extremes above 33°C. This consensus from regional guidance, combined with climatological norms for the Yangtze delta in late August, positions 31°C as the market favorite while assigning modest probability to 32°C if clearer skies develop. Traders are weighting the elevated moisture and cloud cover that historically caps peaks near 32°C rather than allowing stronger solar heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,199Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai's August 21 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thundershower activity that limits daytime heating. Mid-August observations show a persistent rainy pattern with daily highs averaging near 30–31°C, suppressing extremes above 33°C. This consensus from regional guidance, combined with climatological norms for the Yangtze delta in late August, positions 31°C as the market favorite while assigning modest probability to 32°C if clearer skies develop. Traders are weighting the elevated moisture and cloud cover that historically caps peaks near 32°C rather than allowing stronger solar heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,199Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Shanghai's August 21 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thundershower activity that limits daytime heating. Mid-August observations show a persistent rainy pattern with daily highs averaging near 30–31°C, suppressing extremes above 33°C. This consensus from regional guidance, combined with climatological norms for the Yangtze delta in late August, positions 31°C as the market favorite while assigning modest probability to 32°C if clearer skies develop. Traders are weighting the elevated moisture and cloud cover that historically caps peaks near 32°C rather than allowing stronger solar heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti