Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies and models converge on a Moscow high of 22–23°C for August 23, 2026, driving the market’s emphasis on those exact outcomes. This reflects typical late-August climatology for the region, with average highs near 22–24°C, modulated by a stable high-pressure pattern and limited Atlantic influence that favors modest daytime warming and minimal cloud cover. Model runs show little spread in maximum temperatures, though minor revisions to boundary-layer mixing or incoming frontal timing could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders monitor updated guidance from Russian and European centers ahead of resolution, as small forecast adjustments near the 22–24°C range carry outsized weight on implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 23 agosto?
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
26°C 20%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
4%
22°C
34%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
10%
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
26°C 20%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
4%
22°C
34%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies and models converge on a Moscow high of 22–23°C for August 23, 2026, driving the market’s emphasis on those exact outcomes. This reflects typical late-August climatology for the region, with average highs near 22–24°C, modulated by a stable high-pressure pattern and limited Atlantic influence that favors modest daytime warming and minimal cloud cover. Model runs show little spread in maximum temperatures, though minor revisions to boundary-layer mixing or incoming frontal timing could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders monitor updated guidance from Russian and European centers ahead of resolution, as small forecast adjustments near the 22–24°C range carry outsized weight on implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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