Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 23 agosto?
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
29°C 32%
26°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
34%
28°C
36%
29°C
32%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
7%
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
29°C 32%
26°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
23°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
24°C
$20 Vol.
7%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$59 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
36%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$20 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$20 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$159Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlights warm advection from African and Arabian air masses as the dominant driver for Istanbul's August 23 temperatures, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds limiting daytime mixing and potentially capping peaks near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 27 °C, 28 °C, and 29 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. Historical August averages around 28 °C provide a baseline, while the absence of strong sea-breeze cooling or precipitation supports the current narrow distribution ahead of updated model runs expected within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti