Recent tropical moisture influx and the remnants of weakened systems like Neneng, combined with potential steering influences from developing disturbances, are elevating cloud cover and precipitation chances over Manila for August 23. Official PAGASA monitoring and ensemble forecasts indicate scattered thunderstorms with 50-80% rain probabilities, which typically cap daytime maxima near 29-31°C (84-88°F) through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This aligns with climatological August norms but introduces downward pressure on peak readings relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Traders are weighting the timing of any convective bursts, as delayed or lighter rainfall could allow brief warmer spikes toward 32°C before resolution criteria are met. Updated model runs from global agencies will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 23 agosto?
31°C 40%
30°C 31%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
31%
31°C
21%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 31%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
31%
31°C
21%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tropical moisture influx and the remnants of weakened systems like Neneng, combined with potential steering influences from developing disturbances, are elevating cloud cover and precipitation chances over Manila for August 23. Official PAGASA monitoring and ensemble forecasts indicate scattered thunderstorms with 50-80% rain probabilities, which typically cap daytime maxima near 29-31°C (84-88°F) through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This aligns with climatological August norms but introduces downward pressure on peak readings relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Traders are weighting the timing of any convective bursts, as delayed or lighter rainfall could allow brief warmer spikes toward 32°C before resolution criteria are met. Updated model runs from global agencies will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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