Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 31°C daytime maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 22 under cloudy skies with showers (60% AM probability), though ensemble models indicate reduced solar insolation from moisture and cloud cover that often limits realized highs by 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatological baselines near 28–30°C, combined with typical East Asian summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns, concentrate trader-implied probabilities tightly on the 28–30°C band. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on short-term variability in precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and any afternoon breaks that modulate peak surface heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 22 agosto?
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
24°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$171 Vol.
1%
27°C
$181 Vol.
8%
28°C
$176 Vol.
20%
29°C
$186 Vol.
27%
30°C
$80 Vol.
28%
31°C
$96 Vol.
11%
32°C
$10 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$117 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 31°C daytime maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 22 under cloudy skies with showers (60% AM probability), though ensemble models indicate reduced solar insolation from moisture and cloud cover that often limits realized highs by 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatological baselines near 28–30°C, combined with typical East Asian summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns, concentrate trader-implied probabilities tightly on the 28–30°C band. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on short-term variability in precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and any afternoon breaks that modulate peak surface heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,112Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 31°C daytime maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 22 under cloudy skies with showers (60% AM probability), though ensemble models indicate reduced solar insolation from moisture and cloud cover that often limits realized highs by 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatological baselines near 28–30°C, combined with typical East Asian summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns, concentrate trader-implied probabilities tightly on the 28–30°C band. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on short-term variability in precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and any afternoon breaks that modulate peak surface heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,112Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 31°C daytime maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 22 under cloudy skies with showers (60% AM probability), though ensemble models indicate reduced solar insolation from moisture and cloud cover that often limits realized highs by 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatological baselines near 28–30°C, combined with typical East Asian summer monsoon humidity and steering patterns, concentrate trader-implied probabilities tightly on the 28–30°C band. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on short-term variability in precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and any afternoon breaks that modulate peak surface heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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