Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a high of 74–78°F in New York City on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable departure from the late-August climatological average near 83°F, following recent cooler, unsettled conditions that have suppressed temperatures. Precipitation chances of 50–70% further reduce peak readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and blocking solar radiation. These factors concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 74–79°F bins, with traders weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that show limited warming potential ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 22 agosto?
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a high of 74–78°F in New York City on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable departure from the late-August climatological average near 83°F, following recent cooler, unsettled conditions that have suppressed temperatures. Precipitation chances of 50–70% further reduce peak readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and blocking solar radiation. These factors concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 74–79°F bins, with traders weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that show limited warming potential ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti