Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a shift to overcast skies and possible late showers over São Paulo on August 21, 2026, limiting peak solar insolation and radiative heating compared to the clear, dry conditions that produced 31–32°C highs the prior day. This pattern aligns with a passing cold front or altered steering flow, keeping afternoon maxima near the historical August average of 23–25°C while suppressing urban heat island amplification. Ensemble model consensus shows tight clustering around 25–26°C, with minor variance from timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as resolution hinges on official station readings amid typical diurnal variability in subtropical winter conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 21 agosto?
25°C 44%
26°C 35%
27°C 13%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
44%
26°C
35%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 35%
27°C 13%
24°C 12%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
44%
26°C
35%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a shift to overcast skies and possible late showers over São Paulo on August 21, 2026, limiting peak solar insolation and radiative heating compared to the clear, dry conditions that produced 31–32°C highs the prior day. This pattern aligns with a passing cold front or altered steering flow, keeping afternoon maxima near the historical August average of 23–25°C while suppressing urban heat island amplification. Ensemble model consensus shows tight clustering around 25–26°C, with minor variance from timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as resolution hinges on official station readings amid typical diurnal variability in subtropical winter conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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