Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami highs near 91–93°F on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 89°F and mean maxima near 93–94°F, with extremes rarely surpassing 95°F absent unusual ridging. A recent 100°F reading on August 18 reflects transient heat but is expected to moderate amid typical sea-breeze and thunderstorm activity. Developing El Niño conditions add seasonal warmth yet introduce model uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the key data shift ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 21 agosto?
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
85°F or below
$287 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$314 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$301 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$585 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$1,295 Vol.
55%
94-95°F
$468 Vol.
28%
96-97°F
$213 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$621 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$159 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$468 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami highs near 91–93°F on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 89°F and mean maxima near 93–94°F, with extremes rarely surpassing 95°F absent unusual ridging. A recent 100°F reading on August 18 reflects transient heat but is expected to moderate amid typical sea-breeze and thunderstorm activity. Developing El Niño conditions add seasonal warmth yet introduce model uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the key data shift ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,095Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami highs near 91–93°F on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 89°F and mean maxima near 93–94°F, with extremes rarely surpassing 95°F absent unusual ridging. A recent 100°F reading on August 18 reflects transient heat but is expected to moderate amid typical sea-breeze and thunderstorm activity. Developing El Niño conditions add seasonal warmth yet introduce model uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the key data shift ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,095Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami highs near 91–93°F on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 89°F and mean maxima near 93–94°F, with extremes rarely surpassing 95°F absent unusual ridging. A recent 100°F reading on August 18 reflects transient heat but is expected to moderate amid typical sea-breeze and thunderstorm activity. Developing El Niño conditions add seasonal warmth yet introduce model uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon model runs will provide the key data shift ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti