Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 103–105°F for Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging, clear skies, and southerly flow, positioning 104–105°F as the leading market outcome at 55.5% implied probability. This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, where heat indices may reach 106–110°F, though low afternoon storm chances could briefly limit peaks. Average August highs hover near 96°F, with the all-time August 23 record at 105°F, underscoring the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Trader positioning reflects these official guidance trends ahead of final temperature verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 23 agosto?
104-105°F 56%
106-107°F 28%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
95°F o meno
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
56%
106-107°F
28%
108-109°F
6%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F o superiore
<1%
104-105°F 56%
106-107°F 28%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
95°F o meno
$80 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$87 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$26 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$105 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$594 Vol.
13%
104-105°F
$500 Vol.
56%
106-107°F
$260 Vol.
28%
108-109°F
$47 Vol.
6%
110-111°F
$22 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$26 Vol.
1%
114°F o superiore
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 103–105°F for Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging, clear skies, and southerly flow, positioning 104–105°F as the leading market outcome at 55.5% implied probability. This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, where heat indices may reach 106–110°F, though low afternoon storm chances could briefly limit peaks. Average August highs hover near 96°F, with the all-time August 23 record at 105°F, underscoring the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Trader positioning reflects these official guidance trends ahead of final temperature verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,764Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 103–105°F for Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging, clear skies, and southerly flow, positioning 104–105°F as the leading market outcome at 55.5% implied probability. This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, where heat indices may reach 106–110°F, though low afternoon storm chances could briefly limit peaks. Average August highs hover near 96°F, with the all-time August 23 record at 105°F, underscoring the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Trader positioning reflects these official guidance trends ahead of final temperature verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,764Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 103–105°F for Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging, clear skies, and southerly flow, positioning 104–105°F as the leading market outcome at 55.5% implied probability. This aligns with the ongoing heat wave, where heat indices may reach 106–110°F, though low afternoon storm chances could briefly limit peaks. Average August highs hover near 96°F, with the all-time August 23 record at 105°F, underscoring the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Trader positioning reflects these official guidance trends ahead of final temperature verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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