Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 24 agosto?
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$69 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$69 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$90 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$201 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$231 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$539 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$2,196 Vol.
42%
82-83°F
$443 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$90 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$102 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,101Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,101Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 79–81°F for Central Park on August 24, with the 80–81°F bin holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. A building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies supports modest daytime warming, while light southwesterly flow limits marine influence and keeps dew points moderate. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak shortwave could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight spread between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model cycles and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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