Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Beijing highs near 31–33°C on August 25 amid a seasonal cooling trend and possible thundery showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Persistent El Niño conditions have supported above-normal regional temperatures overall, yet late-August monsoon influences and increased humidity often cap peaks through cloud cover and precipitation, as seen in historical analogs where similar setups yield 30–32°C averages. Key variables differentiating outcomes include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon convection, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine intensity ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, weighting near-term model consensus over longer climatological baselines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 25 agosto?
32°C 30%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
26%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
11%
30°C
$5 Vol.
11%
31°C
$19 Vol.
26%
32°C
$26 Vol.
30%
33°C
$49 Vol.
24%
34°C
$13 Vol.
12%
35°C
$10 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Beijing highs near 31–33°C on August 25 amid a seasonal cooling trend and possible thundery showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Persistent El Niño conditions have supported above-normal regional temperatures overall, yet late-August monsoon influences and increased humidity often cap peaks through cloud cover and precipitation, as seen in historical analogs where similar setups yield 30–32°C averages. Key variables differentiating outcomes include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon convection, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine intensity ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, weighting near-term model consensus over longer climatological baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$162Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Beijing highs near 31–33°C on August 25 amid a seasonal cooling trend and possible thundery showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Persistent El Niño conditions have supported above-normal regional temperatures overall, yet late-August monsoon influences and increased humidity often cap peaks through cloud cover and precipitation, as seen in historical analogs where similar setups yield 30–32°C averages. Key variables differentiating outcomes include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon convection, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine intensity ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, weighting near-term model consensus over longer climatological baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$162Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Beijing highs near 31–33°C on August 25 amid a seasonal cooling trend and possible thundery showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Persistent El Niño conditions have supported above-normal regional temperatures overall, yet late-August monsoon influences and increased humidity often cap peaks through cloud cover and precipitation, as seen in historical analogs where similar setups yield 30–32°C averages. Key variables differentiating outcomes include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon convection, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine intensity ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, weighting near-term model consensus over longer climatological baselines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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