Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 24 agosto?
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
55%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$106 Vol.
4%
14°C
$273 Vol.
22%
15°C
$157 Vol.
55%
16°C
$217 Vol.
20%
17°C
$181 Vol.
3%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,265Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,265Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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