Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
47%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$403 Vol.
3%
30°C
$211 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,014 Vol.
47%
32°C
$100 Vol.
37%
33°C
$56 Vol.
11%
34°C
$207 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,617Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,617Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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