Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate the highest temperature on August 25 will likely reach 31–32°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high pressure dominating and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble models from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory align with climatological averages for the period, projecting daytime maxima in the low 30s Celsius amid humidity levels near 70–80 percent, though minor variations in steering patterns could nudge readings to 30°C or 33°C. Recent short-range updates show stable conditions with mostly sunny skies, supporting the market's heaviest implied probabilities around those central outcomes while reflecting uncertainty from potential localized showers or model spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 25 agosto?
31°C 43%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
43%
32°C
31%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
43%
32°C
31%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate the highest temperature on August 25 will likely reach 31–32°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high pressure dominating and limited cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble models from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory align with climatological averages for the period, projecting daytime maxima in the low 30s Celsius amid humidity levels near 70–80 percent, though minor variations in steering patterns could nudge readings to 30°C or 33°C. Recent short-range updates show stable conditions with mostly sunny skies, supporting the market's heaviest implied probabilities around those central outcomes while reflecting uncertainty from potential localized showers or model spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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