Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 24, with 27°C emerging as the most probable outcome amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Lingering moisture and cloud cover from Typhoon Dolphin (which brought record rainfall to the region around August 9–10) have moderated overnight cooling, while high humidity and urban heat effects limit drops below 25°C. Traders favor 27°C (51.5% implied probability) over cooler or warmer thresholds because ensemble forecasts show limited variability in steering patterns and minimal additional tropical influence in the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still adjust the exact low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 24 agosto?
27°C 53%
28°C 26%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
52%
28°C
26%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 53%
28°C 26%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$92 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$40 Vol.
13%
27°C
$77 Vol.
52%
28°C
$6 Vol.
26%
29°C
$77 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 24, with 27°C emerging as the most probable outcome amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Lingering moisture and cloud cover from Typhoon Dolphin (which brought record rainfall to the region around August 9–10) have moderated overnight cooling, while high humidity and urban heat effects limit drops below 25°C. Traders favor 27°C (51.5% implied probability) over cooler or warmer thresholds because ensemble forecasts show limited variability in steering patterns and minimal additional tropical influence in the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still adjust the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$317Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 24, with 27°C emerging as the most probable outcome amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Lingering moisture and cloud cover from Typhoon Dolphin (which brought record rainfall to the region around August 9–10) have moderated overnight cooling, while high humidity and urban heat effects limit drops below 25°C. Traders favor 27°C (51.5% implied probability) over cooler or warmer thresholds because ensemble forecasts show limited variability in steering patterns and minimal additional tropical influence in the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still adjust the exact low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$317Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 24, with 27°C emerging as the most probable outcome amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Lingering moisture and cloud cover from Typhoon Dolphin (which brought record rainfall to the region around August 9–10) have moderated overnight cooling, while high humidity and urban heat effects limit drops below 25°C. Traders favor 27°C (51.5% implied probability) over cooler or warmer thresholds because ensemble forecasts show limited variability in steering patterns and minimal additional tropical influence in the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still adjust the exact low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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