Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C range, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and mostly clear conditions limiting radiative cooling. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 26–27 °C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or strong cold-air intrusions. Trader positioning across closely matched outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official station readings at 20:00 local time. Updated 48-hour forecasts expected within the next day could tighten probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
30°C 44%
27°C 44%
22°C or below 42%
32°C or higher 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
31%
27°C
44%
28°C
18%
29°C
5%
30°C
44%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
39%
30°C 44%
27°C 44%
22°C or below 42%
32°C or higher 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
42%
23°C
$5 Vol.
36%
24°C
$38 Vol.
9%
25°C
$13 Vol.
13%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$38 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
44%
31°C
$0 Vol.
31%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C range, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and mostly clear conditions limiting radiative cooling. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 26–27 °C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or strong cold-air intrusions. Trader positioning across closely matched outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official station readings at 20:00 local time. Updated 48-hour forecasts expected within the next day could tighten probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$104Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C range, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and mostly clear conditions limiting radiative cooling. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 26–27 °C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or strong cold-air intrusions. Trader positioning across closely matched outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official station readings at 20:00 local time. Updated 48-hour forecasts expected within the next day could tighten probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$104Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C range, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and mostly clear conditions limiting radiative cooling. Historical late-August climatology shows average lows near 26–27 °C, with limited day-to-day variability absent typhoon influences or strong cold-air intrusions. Trader positioning across closely matched outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official station readings at 20:00 local time. Updated 48-hour forecasts expected within the next day could tighten probabilities ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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