Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a high around 21–22 °C for Toronto on August 23 under widespread showers and westerly winds, well below the 25.5 °C climatological average. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall are suppressing daytime warming, while cooler maritime air advection limits peak readings. Traders appear to weigh the timing and intensity of showers—stronger or earlier precipitation favors the 20–21 °C outcomes—against the possibility of partial clearing that could nudge readings toward 22 °C. Model consensus currently supports these cooler scenarios, though small shifts in storm track or timing could alter the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 23 agosto?
21°C 35%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 7%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
27%
21°C
35%
22°C
24%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 35%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 7%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
27%
21°C
35%
22°C
24%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a high around 21–22 °C for Toronto on August 23 under widespread showers and westerly winds, well below the 25.5 °C climatological average. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall are suppressing daytime warming, while cooler maritime air advection limits peak readings. Traders appear to weigh the timing and intensity of showers—stronger or earlier precipitation favors the 20–21 °C outcomes—against the possibility of partial clearing that could nudge readings toward 22 °C. Model consensus currently supports these cooler scenarios, though small shifts in storm track or timing could alter the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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