Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converge on a high of 31–32°C in Shanghai for August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–75%, and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating compared with the clearer 33°C days immediately prior. This pattern, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, caps upside potential while keeping temperatures above the seasonal average of roughly 31°C. Updated model runs and local bureau guidance through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest cooling from precipitation pushes the peak closer to 30°C or allows brief clearing that supports 32°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 28 agosto?
31°C 40%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
40%
32°C
25%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 40%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$341 Vol.
8%
30°C
$836 Vol.
18%
31°C
$61 Vol.
40%
32°C
$46 Vol.
25%
33°C
$10 Vol.
10%
34°C
$19 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converge on a high of 31–32°C in Shanghai for August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–75%, and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating compared with the clearer 33°C days immediately prior. This pattern, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, caps upside potential while keeping temperatures above the seasonal average of roughly 31°C. Updated model runs and local bureau guidance through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest cooling from precipitation pushes the peak closer to 30°C or allows brief clearing that supports 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,362Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converge on a high of 31–32°C in Shanghai for August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–75%, and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating compared with the clearer 33°C days immediately prior. This pattern, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, caps upside potential while keeping temperatures above the seasonal average of roughly 31°C. Updated model runs and local bureau guidance through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest cooling from precipitation pushes the peak closer to 30°C or allows brief clearing that supports 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,362Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models converge on a high of 31–32°C in Shanghai for August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–75%, and a 40–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating compared with the clearer 33°C days immediately prior. This pattern, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, caps upside potential while keeping temperatures above the seasonal average of roughly 31°C. Updated model runs and local bureau guidance through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest cooling from precipitation pushes the peak closer to 30°C or allows brief clearing that supports 32°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti