Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 30 will likely reach 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny skies following scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Northerly winds and a seasonal cooling trend from peak summer warmth are moderating daytime highs, with dew points around 17–19°C limiting moisture and instability. Official guidance shows model consensus favoring 27°C as the most probable peak, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range amid typical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 30 agosto?
26°C 46%
27°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
46%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
4%
26°C 46%
27°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
46%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 30 will likely reach 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny skies following scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Northerly winds and a seasonal cooling trend from peak summer warmth are moderating daytime highs, with dew points around 17–19°C limiting moisture and instability. Official guidance shows model consensus favoring 27°C as the most probable peak, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range amid typical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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