Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and local meteorological services, indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These values align with late-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 19–21°C amid stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture. Current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent days, with dew points supporting efficient radiative cooling overnight but no strong cold-air advection expected. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble spreads and model consensus leave limited room for outliers below 18°C or above 24°C, reflecting typical variability in urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 30 agosto?
18°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
9%
18°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
5%
17°C
$140 Vol.
18%
18°C
$10 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$10 Vol.
50%
26°C or higher
$250 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and local meteorological services, indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These values align with late-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 19–21°C amid stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture. Current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent days, with dew points supporting efficient radiative cooling overnight but no strong cold-air advection expected. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble spreads and model consensus leave limited room for outliers below 18°C or above 24°C, reflecting typical variability in urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$420Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and local meteorological services, indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These values align with late-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 19–21°C amid stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture. Current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent days, with dew points supporting efficient radiative cooling overnight but no strong cold-air advection expected. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble spreads and model consensus leave limited room for outliers below 18°C or above 24°C, reflecting typical variability in urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$420Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and local meteorological services, indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely fall between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These values align with late-August climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 19–21°C amid stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture. Current conditions show a slight cooling trend from recent days, with dew points supporting efficient radiative cooling overnight but no strong cold-air advection expected. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble spreads and model consensus leave limited room for outliers below 18°C or above 24°C, reflecting typical variability in urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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