**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 29 agosto?
32°C 94%
33°C 7%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
$102,795 Vol.
$102,795 Vol.
29 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
94%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 94%
33°C 7%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
$102,795 Vol.
$102,795 Vol.
29 ago 2026
29°C or below
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18,367 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,912 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$22,534 Vol.
94%
33°C
$18,388 Vol.
7%
34°C
$14,811 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,408 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,994 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,983 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,274 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$102,795Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,795Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have priced 32°C as the overwhelming favorite for Hong Kong’s official daily maximum on August 29, 2026, because a broad low-pressure trough is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and only brief sunny intervals that limit peak insolation.** Light west-to-southwest winds (force 2–3) and high relative humidity (65–95%) further suppress daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures from climbing higher despite a heat warning. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts list a high near 33°C, yet real-time station readings and model consensus show the actual peak stabilizing around 32°C amid the unsettled subtropical pattern typical of late August. With resolution tied to the verified HKO absolute daily maximum, the 90% implied probability for 32°C captures the balance between residual warmth and frequent convective inhibition, while the low odds on 33°C+ reflect the slim chance of stronger solar breaks before evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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