Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 29 agosto?
27°C 34%
28°C 28%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
28%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 28%
26°C 13%
29°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$510 Vol.
2%
25°C
$369 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,273 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,078 Vol.
34%
28°C
$799 Vol.
28%
29°C
$1,013 Vol.
12%
30°C
$887 Vol.
3%
31°C
$115 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,651Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,651Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to moderate daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 27–28°C as cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar insolation. Official guidance from agencies highlights a shift toward increased moisture and northeast winds, suppressing the typical late-August peak near 31°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing surface energy input. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and intensity, while historical climatology shows such conditions often cap highs 3–4°C below clear-sky baselines. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric dynamics against the slim odds of stronger ridging allowing brief 29°C readings before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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