Current forecast models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–14 °C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the late wet season at 2,240 m elevation. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push select higher-elevation districts (e.g., Cuajimalpa) toward single digits, while widespread cloudiness and rainfall moderate temperatures by trapping heat and limiting surface heat loss. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with the market’s near-even split between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes; traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either enhanced cooling or suppressed minima ahead of final observations. Historical late-August climatology centers on 13–14 °C lows, providing a baseline against which any deviation will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 29 agosto?
9°C o inferiore 82%
19°C o superiore 81%
18°C 49%
12°C 27%
9°C o inferiore
82%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C o superiore
81%
9°C o inferiore 82%
19°C o superiore 81%
18°C 49%
12°C 27%
9°C o inferiore
82%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C o superiore
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–14 °C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the late wet season at 2,240 m elevation. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push select higher-elevation districts (e.g., Cuajimalpa) toward single digits, while widespread cloudiness and rainfall moderate temperatures by trapping heat and limiting surface heat loss. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with the market’s near-even split between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes; traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either enhanced cooling or suppressed minima ahead of final observations. Historical late-August climatology centers on 13–14 °C lows, providing a baseline against which any deviation will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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