Forecast models for Mexico City on August 28 show overnight lows clustering near 13–15°C, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and several global ensembles indicating a minimum around 13°C amid moderate rain, high humidity, and light northerly winds. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation promotes rapid nocturnal radiative cooling once afternoon convection ends, but widespread cloud cover and showers limit the drop by trapping heat and suppressing clear-sky losses. Typical August climatology places average lows near 12–14°C; recent model runs have narrowed the range slightly higher due to persistent moisture and urban heat-island effects. The tight market distribution around 12–15°C reflects uncertainty over exact cloud timing and wind speed, with traders assigning low odds to extremes below 11°C or above 17°C given current steering patterns and the absence of strong cold-air advection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 28 agosto?
14°C 46%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
12°C 46%
9°C or below
44%
10°C
<1%
11°C
45%
12°C
46%
13°C
45%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
45%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 46%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
12°C 46%
9°C or below
44%
10°C
<1%
11°C
45%
12°C
46%
13°C
45%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
45%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on August 28 show overnight lows clustering near 13–15°C, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and several global ensembles indicating a minimum around 13°C amid moderate rain, high humidity, and light northerly winds. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation promotes rapid nocturnal radiative cooling once afternoon convection ends, but widespread cloud cover and showers limit the drop by trapping heat and suppressing clear-sky losses. Typical August climatology places average lows near 12–14°C; recent model runs have narrowed the range slightly higher due to persistent moisture and urban heat-island effects. The tight market distribution around 12–15°C reflects uncertainty over exact cloud timing and wind speed, with traders assigning low odds to extremes below 11°C or above 17°C given current steering patterns and the absence of strong cold-air advection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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