Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and Meteoblue, indicate a warm, dry air mass will keep São Paulo's overnight minimum near 19–22°C on August 29 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, following daytime highs of 30–35°C. This stems from persistent subtropical high pressure suppressing cloud cover and radiational cooling. Trader positioning, with the 13°C-or-below outcome leading at 42.5% implied probability, likely reflects uncertainty around exact urban measurement sites, model spread on boundary-layer mixing, or potential early influence from an approaching cold front expected after August 31. Historical August minima average near 12°C, yet current conditions favor milder readings absent rapid advection changes. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and local observations on the 29th will clarify resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Paolo il 29 agosto?
13°C o meno 86%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
21°C 50%
13°C o meno
86%
14°C
47%
15°C
49%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
25%
19°C
31%
20°C
32%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C o superiore
2%
13°C o meno 86%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
21°C 50%
13°C o meno
86%
14°C
47%
15°C
49%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
25%
19°C
31%
20°C
32%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and Meteoblue, indicate a warm, dry air mass will keep São Paulo's overnight minimum near 19–22°C on August 29 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, following daytime highs of 30–35°C. This stems from persistent subtropical high pressure suppressing cloud cover and radiational cooling. Trader positioning, with the 13°C-or-below outcome leading at 42.5% implied probability, likely reflects uncertainty around exact urban measurement sites, model spread on boundary-layer mixing, or potential early influence from an approaching cold front expected after August 31. Historical August minima average near 12°C, yet current conditions favor milder readings absent rapid advection changes. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and local observations on the 29th will clarify resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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