Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, Climatempo, and GFS consensus indicate mostly sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 28, with light northwest winds and low humidity supporting daytime highs near 31–33 °C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 32 °C outcome at 35.5 % implied probability, followed by 31 °C and 33 °C. Recent stabilization of high pressure and absence of cloud cover or frontal systems have kept temperatures elevated relative to typical late-August climatology of 22 °C maxima, while model runs show minimal spread and no rapid cooling expected before the daily peak. Updated guidance later today will refine the exact maximum used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 28 agosto?
32°C 38%
31°C 23%
33°C 18%
30°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
38%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 38%
31°C 23%
33°C 18%
30°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
38%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, Climatempo, and GFS consensus indicate mostly sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 28, with light northwest winds and low humidity supporting daytime highs near 31–33 °C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 32 °C outcome at 35.5 % implied probability, followed by 31 °C and 33 °C. Recent stabilization of high pressure and absence of cloud cover or frontal systems have kept temperatures elevated relative to typical late-August climatology of 22 °C maxima, while model runs show minimal spread and no rapid cooling expected before the daily peak. Updated guidance later today will refine the exact maximum used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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