Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a high of 28–29°C for Manila on August 29 amid widespread thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover, which limits solar heating and aligns with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes. This reflects typical late-August wet-season dynamics, where frequent precipitation and high humidity (often exceeding 85%) suppress daytime maxima below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus shows consistent steering from southwest winds and embedded convection, reducing the chance of brief clear periods that could push readings to 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern against minor upside risks from forecast revisions, consistent with historical variability in the region’s equatorial climate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 29 agosto?
29°C 44%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
30%
29°C
44%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$14 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$14 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$93 Vol.
2%
26°C
$91 Vol.
4%
27°C
$643 Vol.
9%
28°C
$1,855 Vol.
30%
29°C
$940 Vol.
44%
30°C
$409 Vol.
15%
31°C
$202 Vol.
4%
32°C
$233 Vol.
1%
33°C o superiore
$119 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a high of 28–29°C for Manila on August 29 amid widespread thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover, which limits solar heating and aligns with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes. This reflects typical late-August wet-season dynamics, where frequent precipitation and high humidity (often exceeding 85%) suppress daytime maxima below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus shows consistent steering from southwest winds and embedded convection, reducing the chance of brief clear periods that could push readings to 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern against minor upside risks from forecast revisions, consistent with historical variability in the region’s equatorial climate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$4,614Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a high of 28–29°C for Manila on August 29 amid widespread thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover, which limits solar heating and aligns with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes. This reflects typical late-August wet-season dynamics, where frequent precipitation and high humidity (often exceeding 85%) suppress daytime maxima below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus shows consistent steering from southwest winds and embedded convection, reducing the chance of brief clear periods that could push readings to 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern against minor upside risks from forecast revisions, consistent with historical variability in the region’s equatorial climate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,614Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a high of 28–29°C for Manila on August 29 amid widespread thunderstorms and monsoon-driven cloud cover, which limits solar heating and aligns with the market’s leading probabilities on those outcomes. This reflects typical late-August wet-season dynamics, where frequent precipitation and high humidity (often exceeding 85%) suppress daytime maxima below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus shows consistent steering from southwest winds and embedded convection, reducing the chance of brief clear periods that could push readings to 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern against minor upside risks from forecast revisions, consistent with historical variability in the region’s equatorial climate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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