Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 29 agosto?
72-73°F 41%
64-65°F 34%
74°F or higher 32%
66-67°F 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
55°F or below
17%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
41%
74°F or higher
32%
72-73°F 41%
64-65°F 34%
74°F or higher 32%
66-67°F 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
55°F or below
$135 Vol.
17%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
34%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
32%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
41%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$150Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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