Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 30 agosto?
27°C 49%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
30%
27°C
49%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$65 Vol.
5%
26°C
$258 Vol.
30%
27°C
$225 Vol.
49%
28°C
$79 Vol.
18%
29°C
$105 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,312Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,312Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure dominance over central Europe and associated southerly flow are positioning Warsaw for a maximum near 27°C on August 30, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 49% for that outcome. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 20s while overnight lows stay around 14–18°C. Recent warming trends under the ridge have lifted probabilities for 26–28°C into the combined 80+% range, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and IMGW briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational calibration ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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