**Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and GFS-based models indicate the minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 29 will most likely fall in the 14–16°C range overnight into early August 30, driven by post-thunderstorm clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under dew points near 13–15°C.** Highs reached only 20–22°C amid scattered storms and high humidity (70–90%), limiting daytime heat storage. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection. Model consensus and recent observational trends from Chopin Airport and central Warsaw stations have reinforced 16°C as the mode, reflected in the dominant market-implied probability, while lower outcomes (13–15°C) retain secondary support if cooling proves more efficient than expected. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to shift this positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 29 agosto?
15°C 45%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
45%
16°C
54%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
$277 Vol.
1%
12°C
$27 Vol.
8%
13°C
$16 Vol.
18%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$5 Vol.
45%
16°C
$59 Vol.
54%
17°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and GFS-based models indicate the minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 29 will most likely fall in the 14–16°C range overnight into early August 30, driven by post-thunderstorm clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under dew points near 13–15°C.**
Highs reached only 20–22°C amid scattered storms and high humidity (70–90%), limiting daytime heat storage. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection. Model consensus and recent observational trends from Chopin Airport and central Warsaw stations have reinforced 16°C as the mode, reflected in the dominant market-implied probability, while lower outcomes (13–15°C) retain secondary support if cooling proves more efficient than expected. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to shift this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$953Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and GFS-based models indicate the minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 29 will most likely fall in the 14–16°C range overnight into early August 30, driven by post-thunderstorm clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under dew points near 13–15°C.**
Highs reached only 20–22°C amid scattered storms and high humidity (70–90%), limiting daytime heat storage. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection. Model consensus and recent observational trends from Chopin Airport and central Warsaw stations have reinforced 16°C as the mode, reflected in the dominant market-implied probability, while lower outcomes (13–15°C) retain secondary support if cooling proves more efficient than expected. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to shift this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$953Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and GFS-based models indicate the minimum temperature in Warsaw on August 29 will most likely fall in the 14–16°C range overnight into early August 30, driven by post-thunderstorm clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under dew points near 13–15°C.** Highs reached only 20–22°C amid scattered storms and high humidity (70–90%), limiting daytime heat storage. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 13–16°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current steering patterns and lack of strong cold advection. Model consensus and recent observational trends from Chopin Airport and central Warsaw stations have reinforced 16°C as the mode, reflected in the dominant market-implied probability, while lower outcomes (13–15°C) retain secondary support if cooling proves more efficient than expected. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to shift this positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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