Current model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 16–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under stable late-winter conditions, with easterly flow off the Atlantic, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal warming. Late August climatology typically features highs near 16–18°C, and the lack of significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 18–22°C. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift peak readings by 1–2°C across ensemble members, explaining the even distribution of trader-implied odds across that narrow band while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 31 agosto?
21°C 47%
22°C 45%
19°C 28%
20°C 28%
14°C o inferiore
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
28%
21°C
47%
22°C
45%
23°C
7%
24°C o superiore
4%
21°C 47%
22°C 45%
19°C 28%
20°C 28%
14°C o inferiore
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
9%
19°C
28%
20°C
28%
21°C
47%
22°C
45%
23°C
7%
24°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 16–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under stable late-winter conditions, with easterly flow off the Atlantic, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal warming. Late August climatology typically features highs near 16–18°C, and the lack of significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 18–22°C. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift peak readings by 1–2°C across ensemble members, explaining the even distribution of trader-implied odds across that narrow band while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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