Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin have moderated temperatures ahead of August 29, with official guidance pointing to widespread showers and overcast skies that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity levels near 70-90% and light variable winds further suppress daytime maxima, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns where frequent precipitation prevents extremes seen earlier in the month. Model consensus favors a peak near 28-30°C, but small differences in rain timing or brief cloud breaks could shift the daily high by 1-2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 29 agosto?
29°C 24%
28°C 20%
30°C 19%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
10%
28°C
20%
29°C
24%
30°C
19%
31°C
11%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 24%
28°C 20%
30°C 19%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
24°C or below
$80 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$290 Vol.
2%
26°C
$296 Vol.
6%
27°C
$276 Vol.
10%
28°C
$237 Vol.
20%
29°C
$220 Vol.
24%
30°C
$316 Vol.
19%
31°C
$505 Vol.
11%
32°C
$215 Vol.
7%
33°C
$487 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$467 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin have moderated temperatures ahead of August 29, with official guidance pointing to widespread showers and overcast skies that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity levels near 70-90% and light variable winds further suppress daytime maxima, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns where frequent precipitation prevents extremes seen earlier in the month. Model consensus favors a peak near 28-30°C, but small differences in rain timing or brief cloud breaks could shift the daily high by 1-2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,390Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin have moderated temperatures ahead of August 29, with official guidance pointing to widespread showers and overcast skies that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity levels near 70-90% and light variable winds further suppress daytime maxima, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns where frequent precipitation prevents extremes seen earlier in the month. Model consensus favors a peak near 28-30°C, but small differences in rain timing or brief cloud breaks could shift the daily high by 1-2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,390Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin have moderated temperatures ahead of August 29, with official guidance pointing to widespread showers and overcast skies that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity levels near 70-90% and light variable winds further suppress daytime maxima, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns where frequent precipitation prevents extremes seen earlier in the month. Model consensus favors a peak near 28-30°C, but small differences in rain timing or brief cloud breaks could shift the daily high by 1-2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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