Traders see the closest alignment between 38°C and 39°C-plus outcomes because current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place Jeddah’s August 29 maximum in that narrow band under a persistent subtropical ridge drawing hot, dry air from the Arabian interior. Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 32°C and light coastal winds limit the usual moderating sea-breeze effect, yet modest increases in boundary-layer moisture or a slight shift in steering flow could cap readings at 38°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 38°C, underscoring why lower probabilities attach to both cooler and extreme values. The next 48-hour model cycles and any revised local observations will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 29 agosto?
39°C o superiore 37%
38°C 29%
37°C 19%
36°C 8%
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
8%
37°C
19%
38°C
29%
39°C o superiore
37%
39°C o superiore 37%
38°C 29%
37°C 19%
36°C 8%
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
8%
37°C
19%
38°C
29%
39°C o superiore
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closest alignment between 38°C and 39°C-plus outcomes because current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place Jeddah’s August 29 maximum in that narrow band under a persistent subtropical ridge drawing hot, dry air from the Arabian interior. Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 32°C and light coastal winds limit the usual moderating sea-breeze effect, yet modest increases in boundary-layer moisture or a slight shift in steering flow could cap readings at 38°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 38°C, underscoring why lower probabilities attach to both cooler and extreme values. The next 48-hour model cycles and any revised local observations will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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