**Forecast consensus points to a modest high in the mid-20s °C for Paris on August 27, driven by an unstable airmass, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Southwesterly flow and moderate winds will further suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms, with models such as GFS indicating afternoon maxima near 26 °C amid 50-60% rain probabilities. This setup creates tight uncertainty across the 26–28 °C range reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud timing or convective intensity could alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 24 °C, providing context for the current cooler trajectory. Fresh model runs and official Météo-France briefings will be the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 27 agosto?
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a modest high in the mid-20s °C for Paris on August 27, driven by an unstable airmass, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Southwesterly flow and moderate winds will further suppress peak temperatures below seasonal norms, with models such as GFS indicating afternoon maxima near 26 °C amid 50-60% rain probabilities. This setup creates tight uncertainty across the 26–28 °C range reflected in closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in cloud timing or convective intensity could alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August averages hover around 24 °C, providing context for the current cooler trajectory. Fresh model runs and official Météo-France briefings will be the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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