Recent forecast runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate Istanbul will see partly cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 29, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum in the mid-20s Celsius. This consensus, with peaks projected between 24–26 °C amid northerly flow and moderate humidity, explains the tight market split favoring 24 °C over 25 °C. Model differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the observed uncertainty between these outcomes, while higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns. Updated official guidance from MGM and hourly observations will refine the exact high before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 29 agosto?
24°C 44%
25°C 38%
23°C 15%
26°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
44%
25°C
38%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 38%
23°C 15%
26°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
44%
25°C
38%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate Istanbul will see partly cloudy skies with scattered showers on August 29, limiting afternoon heating and keeping the daily maximum in the mid-20s Celsius. This consensus, with peaks projected between 24–26 °C amid northerly flow and moderate humidity, explains the tight market split favoring 24 °C over 25 °C. Model differences in cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the observed uncertainty between these outcomes, while higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns. Updated official guidance from MGM and hourly observations will refine the exact high before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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