Forecast models indicate a moderating influence from an approaching Atlantic front over Warsaw on August 29, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances around 25-76% during morning and afternoon hours, and southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating after Friday's clearer 26°C peak. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and IMGW points to a maximum near 21-24°C, reflecting typical late-August variability under transitional high-pressure conditions shifting to a cooler air mass. Ensemble differences in frontal timing and convective development create the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C outcomes, with historical August maxima averaging near 21°C providing context for the current trader-weighted probabilities. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 29 agosto?
22°C 29%
21°C 28%
23°C 25%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
28%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 29%
21°C 28%
23°C 25%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$376 Vol.
1%
19°C
$728 Vol.
4%
20°C
$697 Vol.
7%
21°C
$1,352 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,035 Vol.
29%
23°C
$1,148 Vol.
25%
24°C
$165 Vol.
9%
25°C or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a moderating influence from an approaching Atlantic front over Warsaw on August 29, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances around 25-76% during morning and afternoon hours, and southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating after Friday's clearer 26°C peak. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and IMGW points to a maximum near 21-24°C, reflecting typical late-August variability under transitional high-pressure conditions shifting to a cooler air mass. Ensemble differences in frontal timing and convective development create the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C outcomes, with historical August maxima averaging near 21°C providing context for the current trader-weighted probabilities. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,131Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a moderating influence from an approaching Atlantic front over Warsaw on August 29, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances around 25-76% during morning and afternoon hours, and southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating after Friday's clearer 26°C peak. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and IMGW points to a maximum near 21-24°C, reflecting typical late-August variability under transitional high-pressure conditions shifting to a cooler air mass. Ensemble differences in frontal timing and convective development create the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C outcomes, with historical August maxima averaging near 21°C providing context for the current trader-weighted probabilities. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,131Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a moderating influence from an approaching Atlantic front over Warsaw on August 29, with increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances around 25-76% during morning and afternoon hours, and southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating after Friday's clearer 26°C peak. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and IMGW points to a maximum near 21-24°C, reflecting typical late-August variability under transitional high-pressure conditions shifting to a cooler air mass. Ensemble differences in frontal timing and convective development create the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C outcomes, with historical August maxima averaging near 21°C providing context for the current trader-weighted probabilities. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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