Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–29°C as the most probable high for Beijing on August 27, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models that place maximum temperatures in that narrow band. Persistent subtropical high pressure and limited moisture advection are expected to favor clear to partly cloudy conditions, supporting modest daytime heating near seasonal norms of 29–31°C. Uncertainty stems from potential variations in low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers will update frequently through the weekend, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour maximum observations at the Beijing station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 27 agosto?
28°C 24%
29°C 24%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 24%
29°C 24%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–29°C as the most probable high for Beijing on August 27, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models that place maximum temperatures in that narrow band. Persistent subtropical high pressure and limited moisture advection are expected to favor clear to partly cloudy conditions, supporting modest daytime heating near seasonal norms of 29–31°C. Uncertainty stems from potential variations in low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers will update frequently through the weekend, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour maximum observations at the Beijing station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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