Persistent southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are limiting daytime heating across the Netherlands, keeping forecast highs for Amsterdam on August 29 clustered near 21–22 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Multiple high-resolution runs show peak readings between 20–23 °C depending on the precise timing of breaks in the cloud deck, with the highest probabilities centered on 22 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the region averages 20–21 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet well below the month’s earlier heat peaks. Traders have priced the tight clustering of 22–23 °C outcomes at over 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the final 24–36 hours before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 29 agosto?
22°C 50%
23°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
50%
23°C
34%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
17°C o inferiore
$205 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,766 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,170 Vol.
13%
22°C
$1,196 Vol.
50%
23°C
$1,059 Vol.
34%
24°C
$739 Vol.
4%
25°C
$164 Vol.
1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
27°C o superiore
$313 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are limiting daytime heating across the Netherlands, keeping forecast highs for Amsterdam on August 29 clustered near 21–22 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Multiple high-resolution runs show peak readings between 20–23 °C depending on the precise timing of breaks in the cloud deck, with the highest probabilities centered on 22 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the region averages 20–21 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet well below the month’s earlier heat peaks. Traders have priced the tight clustering of 22–23 °C outcomes at over 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the final 24–36 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,518Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are limiting daytime heating across the Netherlands, keeping forecast highs for Amsterdam on August 29 clustered near 21–22 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Multiple high-resolution runs show peak readings between 20–23 °C depending on the precise timing of breaks in the cloud deck, with the highest probabilities centered on 22 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the region averages 20–21 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet well below the month’s earlier heat peaks. Traders have priced the tight clustering of 22–23 °C outcomes at over 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the final 24–36 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,518Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are limiting daytime heating across the Netherlands, keeping forecast highs for Amsterdam on August 29 clustered near 21–22 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance. Multiple high-resolution runs show peak readings between 20–23 °C depending on the precise timing of breaks in the cloud deck, with the highest probabilities centered on 22 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the region averages 20–21 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet well below the month’s earlier heat peaks. Traders have priced the tight clustering of 22–23 °C outcomes at over 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the final 24–36 hours before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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