Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models points to overnight lows near 16°C in Amsterdam on August 29 under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–17°C because small differences in cloud optical thickness, surface wind speeds around 6–7 m/s, and dew points near 15–16°C can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through changes in turbulent mixing and longwave radiation. Persistent Atlantic air mass and high humidity further cap the drop below historical late-August averages, while any brief clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 15°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from KNMI stations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 29 agosto?
16°C 39%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
18°C 25%
12°C or below
4%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
16°C 39%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
18°C 25%
12°C or below
4%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models points to overnight lows near 16°C in Amsterdam on August 29 under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–17°C because small differences in cloud optical thickness, surface wind speeds around 6–7 m/s, and dew points near 15–16°C can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through changes in turbulent mixing and longwave radiation. Persistent Atlantic air mass and high humidity further cap the drop below historical late-August averages, while any brief clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 15°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from KNMI stations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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