**Recent official forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and the Met Office converge on a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30, 2026, under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the month's pattern of slightly above-average temperatures (mean departure +0.5°C through late August) and recent daily maxima reaching 16–17°C. Northwesterly flow typically brings milder air to the region, while sunny skies support daytime warming; however, strong winds (often 30–40 km/h with gusts) enhance mixing and can limit peak heating. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show limited precipitation risk and no major frontal systems disrupting the setup through the weekend. Trader emphasis on 17°C as the modal outcome (51.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty margins in short-range guidance, recent observed warmth, and the potential for localized orographic effects or model spread to push the daily maximum one degree higher. Lower-probability outcomes around 18°C or 15–16°C capture remaining forecast variability two days out. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 30 agosto?
17°C 52%
18°C 25%
16°C 17%
15°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
17%
17°C
52%
18°C
25%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 52%
18°C 25%
16°C 17%
15°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
11°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$336 Vol.
1%
15°C
$50 Vol.
4%
16°C
$326 Vol.
17%
17°C
$414 Vol.
52%
18°C
$465 Vol.
25%
19°C
$48 Vol.
3%
20°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and the Met Office converge on a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30, 2026, under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the month's pattern of slightly above-average temperatures (mean departure +0.5°C through late August) and recent daily maxima reaching 16–17°C.
Northwesterly flow typically brings milder air to the region, while sunny skies support daytime warming; however, strong winds (often 30–40 km/h with gusts) enhance mixing and can limit peak heating. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show limited precipitation risk and no major frontal systems disrupting the setup through the weekend.
Trader emphasis on 17°C as the modal outcome (51.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty margins in short-range guidance, recent observed warmth, and the potential for localized orographic effects or model spread to push the daily maximum one degree higher. Lower-probability outcomes around 18°C or 15–16°C capture remaining forecast variability two days out. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,905Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and the Met Office converge on a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30, 2026, under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the month's pattern of slightly above-average temperatures (mean departure +0.5°C through late August) and recent daily maxima reaching 16–17°C.
Northwesterly flow typically brings milder air to the region, while sunny skies support daytime warming; however, strong winds (often 30–40 km/h with gusts) enhance mixing and can limit peak heating. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show limited precipitation risk and no major frontal systems disrupting the setup through the weekend.
Trader emphasis on 17°C as the modal outcome (51.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty margins in short-range guidance, recent observed warmth, and the potential for localized orographic effects or model spread to push the daily maximum one degree higher. Lower-probability outcomes around 18°C or 15–16°C capture remaining forecast variability two days out. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,905Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from MetService, WeatherWatch, and the Met Office converge on a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30, 2026, under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds.** This aligns with the month's pattern of slightly above-average temperatures (mean departure +0.5°C through late August) and recent daily maxima reaching 16–17°C. Northwesterly flow typically brings milder air to the region, while sunny skies support daytime warming; however, strong winds (often 30–40 km/h with gusts) enhance mixing and can limit peak heating. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks show limited precipitation risk and no major frontal systems disrupting the setup through the weekend. Trader emphasis on 17°C as the modal outcome (51.5% implied probability) likely reflects uncertainty margins in short-range guidance, recent observed warmth, and the potential for localized orographic effects or model spread to push the daily maximum one degree higher. Lower-probability outcomes around 18°C or 15–16°C capture remaining forecast variability two days out. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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