**Northwesterly winds following the passage of a front are the main driver pushing implied probabilities toward a 15 °C peak on 29 August, with MetService and multiple models indicating a high near 13–14 °C under mostly fine conditions and moderate northwest flow.** Clearing skies and downslope warming from the northwest should allow daytime temperatures to exceed the long-term August average of roughly 11–12 °C, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover low enough for additional solar heating. Ensemble spreads in recent GFS and ECMWF runs introduce modest upside risk to 15–16 °C, which aligns with the heavy market weighting on 15 °C (65.5 %). Official forecasts will be updated overnight, and any late-model shift toward stronger onshore flow or increased cloud could quickly favor the 14 °C outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 29 agosto?
15°C 66%
14°C 16%
16°C 16%
17°C 4%
NUOVO
$23,923 Vol.
NUOVO
$23,923 Vol.
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
16%
15°C
66%
16°C
16%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 66%
14°C 16%
16°C 16%
17°C 4%
NUOVO
$23,923 Vol.
NUOVO
$23,923 Vol.
29 ago 2026
9°C or below
$800 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,760 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5,347 Vol.
16%
15°C
$4,475 Vol.
66%
16°C
$3,266 Vol.
16%
17°C
$2,504 Vol.
4%
18°C
$2,810 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds following the passage of a front are the main driver pushing implied probabilities toward a 15 °C peak on 29 August, with MetService and multiple models indicating a high near 13–14 °C under mostly fine conditions and moderate northwest flow.**
Clearing skies and downslope warming from the northwest should allow daytime temperatures to exceed the long-term August average of roughly 11–12 °C, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover low enough for additional solar heating. Ensemble spreads in recent GFS and ECMWF runs introduce modest upside risk to 15–16 °C, which aligns with the heavy market weighting on 15 °C (65.5 %). Official forecasts will be updated overnight, and any late-model shift toward stronger onshore flow or increased cloud could quickly favor the 14 °C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,923Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds following the passage of a front are the main driver pushing implied probabilities toward a 15 °C peak on 29 August, with MetService and multiple models indicating a high near 13–14 °C under mostly fine conditions and moderate northwest flow.**
Clearing skies and downslope warming from the northwest should allow daytime temperatures to exceed the long-term August average of roughly 11–12 °C, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover low enough for additional solar heating. Ensemble spreads in recent GFS and ECMWF runs introduce modest upside risk to 15–16 °C, which aligns with the heavy market weighting on 15 °C (65.5 %). Official forecasts will be updated overnight, and any late-model shift toward stronger onshore flow or increased cloud could quickly favor the 14 °C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,923Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northwesterly winds following the passage of a front are the main driver pushing implied probabilities toward a 15 °C peak on 29 August, with MetService and multiple models indicating a high near 13–14 °C under mostly fine conditions and moderate northwest flow.** Clearing skies and downslope warming from the northwest should allow daytime temperatures to exceed the long-term August average of roughly 11–12 °C, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover low enough for additional solar heating. Ensemble spreads in recent GFS and ECMWF runs introduce modest upside risk to 15–16 °C, which aligns with the heavy market weighting on 15 °C (65.5 %). Official forecasts will be updated overnight, and any late-model shift toward stronger onshore flow or increased cloud could quickly favor the 14 °C outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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