Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Paolo il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di San Paolo il 31 agosto?
27°C o superiore 88%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C o inferiore
45%
18°C
27%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
25%
23°C
23%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C o superiore
88%
27°C o superiore 88%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
45%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$10 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$10Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 likely near 19–21°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions with daytime highs exceeding 34°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on outcomes clustered around 18–19°C, though the leading 27°C-or-higher share reflects lingering uncertainty over nocturnal radiative cooling and possible model spread on wind and cloud cover. A frontal passage expected September 1–2 will bring sharp cooling and precipitation, but timing remains the key variable for the final daily low on the 31st; historical August minima average near 12°C, underscoring how atypical current warmth influences short-term odds. Updated model guidance in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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