Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 27 show a daily minimum likely between 14–17°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit mixing while permitting nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models diverge modestly on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C. Recent cooler-than-average conditions through mid-August have raised baseline expectations for stronger overnight drops, yet the shift to warmer advection and drier air is narrowing the range and keeping probabilities evenly distributed. Official minimum readings from INMET stations will resolve the market, with updates from regional models expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 27 agosto?
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
14°C 26%
10°C o inferiore
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
8%
20°C o superiore
25%
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
14°C 26%
10°C o inferiore
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
8%
20°C o superiore
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 27 show a daily minimum likely between 14–17°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit mixing while permitting nocturnal radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models diverge modestly on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C. Recent cooler-than-average conditions through mid-August have raised baseline expectations for stronger overnight drops, yet the shift to warmer advection and drier air is narrowing the range and keeping probabilities evenly distributed. Official minimum readings from INMET stations will resolve the market, with updates from regional models expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti