Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and MetService guidance highlights a southerly wind shift and increasing cloud cover with light rain as the main drivers capping daytime heating in Wellington on August 27. These conditions, typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, advect cooler maritime air and reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 12–13 °C, with limited scope for brief northerly warming that could push readings to 14 °C. Traders have priced the highest probability on 14 °C, reflecting residual model spread and historical variability in southerly regimes, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger cold outbreak. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine the precise maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 27 agosto?
14°C 48%
13°C 35%
12°C 9%
15°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
9%
13°C
35%
14°C
48%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 48%
13°C 35%
12°C 9%
15°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
8°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$325 Vol.
1%
11°C
$60 Vol.
1%
12°C
$313 Vol.
9%
13°C
$485 Vol.
35%
14°C
$1,429 Vol.
48%
15°C
$594 Vol.
9%
16°C
$22 Vol.
3%
17°C
$106 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$148 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and MetService guidance highlights a southerly wind shift and increasing cloud cover with light rain as the main drivers capping daytime heating in Wellington on August 27. These conditions, typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, advect cooler maritime air and reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 12–13 °C, with limited scope for brief northerly warming that could push readings to 14 °C. Traders have priced the highest probability on 14 °C, reflecting residual model spread and historical variability in southerly regimes, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger cold outbreak. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,093Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and MetService guidance highlights a southerly wind shift and increasing cloud cover with light rain as the main drivers capping daytime heating in Wellington on August 27. These conditions, typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, advect cooler maritime air and reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 12–13 °C, with limited scope for brief northerly warming that could push readings to 14 °C. Traders have priced the highest probability on 14 °C, reflecting residual model spread and historical variability in southerly regimes, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger cold outbreak. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,093Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and MetService guidance highlights a southerly wind shift and increasing cloud cover with light rain as the main drivers capping daytime heating in Wellington on August 27. These conditions, typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter, advect cooler maritime air and reduce solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 12–13 °C, with limited scope for brief northerly warming that could push readings to 14 °C. Traders have priced the highest probability on 14 °C, reflecting residual model spread and historical variability in southerly regimes, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger cold outbreak. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine the precise maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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