Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 25 agosto?
27°C 38%
26°C 27%
28°C 27%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
27%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 38%
26°C 27%
28°C 27%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
20°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$97 Vol.
9%
26°C
$121 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$11 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$241Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$241Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other models cluster around a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, reflecting a stable high-pressure pattern with limited daytime heating due to partial cloud cover and light easterly winds. This consensus supports the market's tight distribution between 26°C and 28°C outcomes, as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, but the current cooler anomaly aligns with broader northern Italy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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