Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend and scattered precipitation over Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly flow and peripheral atmospheric influences, keeping maximum temperatures most likely in the 30–32°C range. This has concentrated trader sentiment on the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as cloud cover and rainfall timing introduce uncertainty in peak solar heating and diurnal warming. Official monitoring shows this aligns with a post-summer transition pattern, where historical late-August highs average near 32–33°C but drop under similar synoptic setups. Final model updates and observational data in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 31 agosto?
32°C 26%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
29°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C
23%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 26%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
29°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C
23%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend and scattered precipitation over Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly flow and peripheral atmospheric influences, keeping maximum temperatures most likely in the 30–32°C range. This has concentrated trader sentiment on the closely matched 31–33°C outcomes, as cloud cover and rainfall timing introduce uncertainty in peak solar heating and diurnal warming. Official monitoring shows this aligns with a post-summer transition pattern, where historical late-August highs average near 32–33°C but drop under similar synoptic setups. Final model updates and observational data in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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