Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Austin il 31 agosto?
67°F o inferiore 98%
86°F o superiore 97%
68-69°F 50%
70-71°F 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
98%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
49%
86°F o superiore
97%
67°F o inferiore 98%
86°F o superiore 97%
68-69°F 50%
70-71°F 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
50%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
50%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
50%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
50%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
50%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
50%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
50%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
49%
86°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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